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April 5th, 7th & 8th Greyhound Trading Update

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Tomas

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Another three day summary... I haven't been able to dedicate much time to greyhounds but at least I am finally in profit with a little bit of luck involved :) 

April 5th:

PL2.jpg

As you can see, I had only a very little time in the morning and in the evening so there is really not much to talk about. 

April 7th:

PaL.jpg

PaL2.jpg

This day boosted my overall profit but it wasn't because of my excellent trading skills - it was due to an early suspended market. Exactly 10 seconds before the official start of the race I ended up with quite a big Back bet on a favourite:

suspend.jpg

Luckily the favourite did win the race. But I quite don't understand one thing - why on earth the market is suspended so early? How can we rely on the time? Seems like we have to live with this issue and so I decided to close all of my trading positions at least 15 seconds before the official time. I usually finish my trading little bit earlier though. Unfortunately, I will miss some good opportunities which often arrive early before the official starting time.

Except this race, I would still end up with £21.24 profit and that is what I would prefer - more days with a smaller profit rather than days with big ups and downs. 

April 8th:

PL2.jpg

What gets me into a loss quite often are those bloody big & unexpected spikes up and down. Someone often takes a lot of money (often in thousands) and he moves the price from like 3.00 to 4.00 in just one second. It's quite hard to fight against it sometimes but I think I can now roughly recognise if it will happen or not. Let's see what the future will bring :)

Stats:

Stats last three days.jpg

Current Equity:

equity.jpg

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Many times I have been caught out on early suspension. really put me off doing the greyhounds for while. Can grind out little and often results all day then get caught out once and it takes all the profit off you again.  

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I had a bot running on the dogs which was profitable to start with but became unprofitable so I turned it off.  I think there is still profit there just need to come back to it.  

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    • well done zitlor..slow and steady is the only way it seems..good luck for future
    • Thank you for the response to my blog. Yes, of course you are right in terms of the ideas and pointers provided by Thomas while the main ability is the skill of recognition (pattern recognition) to see where and then when to be operating in a market. The immediate usefulness for me is the realisation of the necessity to be in and out quickly, (bet/scratch/bet/scratch again and again). I find myself having a series of small losses but these will be offset against a far more substantial win. This will do for me while I improve my "sense" of timing. Mind you, at 70 years young and while being very fit for that age, my reactions are not what I would desire. That can be practised! Good luck, my friend!
    • I've been at this for a few months now and have come to the conclusion what Tomas provides here for free is fantastic in that it  gives you ideas and points you in the right direction but in order to realise the subtle differences between when to apply these strategies and when not to it takes countless hours of screen time. There's simply no short cut.  I think most will give up well before they get there but those who do make it to earning a professional level income, say at least the annual minimum UK wage, are perhaps 1 in 500 to 1 in a 1000 on Betfair. Closer to 1 in a 1000 I'd imagine. I've no idea if I have the inherent pattern recognition ability to succeed but I've given myself 2 years and I'm going to give it my best shot.  Good luck and if you feel like posting a regular blog of your progress I'll read it.
    • Thanks @Tomas I started with realistic expectations so I'm very pleased with the slow but steady progress I've made. I've no doubt I'll need the full 2 years I gave myself from the start if I'm ever to progress onto making real money in the big boys playground of UK horse racing. Time will tell but I've really enjoyed it thus far so I'm happy to patiently wait and see what happens. 
    • So you have cracked it, congratulations! I think that more people would be interested on how you are doing in the future. Any future updates are still welcome  
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